Aarons 499 (@Talladega)

[Maxx40]

CUP YTD

23-11 +14.38 units (Match-Ups)
10-10 + 1.86 units (Props/FP)
03-03 + 6.14 units (Race Winners)

Total: +22.38 units

Making too many plays on a crapshoot race but........here goes

MATCH-UPS (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (-135) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Ragan is an underrated plate racer who should've won at Daytona

Clint Bowyer (-110) over Jimmie Johnson (@thegreek)
Another good plate track guy, who won last time here

Joey Logano (+100) over Matt Kenseth (@beted)
Logano 5th, 3rd and 9th in 3 of last 4 at Talladega, Kenseth has a 25.3 avg. last 6 here. So if Joey can stay out of trouble.......

Paul Menard (-125) over David Reutimann (@beted)
Menard having his best year ever and has 4 Top 13 finishes the last 7 plate races (9th at Daytona in February)

Juan Montoya (+105) over Jeff Burton (@thegreek)
Back to back 3rd place finishes last year at 'Dega...6th at Daytona this year

Jamie MacMurray (+105) over Carl Edwards (@5dimes)
Jamie has a couple of plate wins and a 2nd over the past 2 years

Jeff Gordon (-130) over Denny Hamlin (@5dimes)
Hamlin not strong on plates when hes having a good year and so far this is not a good year

MATCH-UPS/FP (all plays 1.5 units)

David Ragan (+120) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Just got a feeling about the 6 today

Joey Logano (+190) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Top 10 in 3 of last 4 here

Paul Menard (+160) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Another that could be near the front if the chips fall right

Clint Bowyer (-115) Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he stays out of trouble this should be easy (famous last words)

Jamie MacMurray (+100)Top 10 (@5dimes)
If he finishes he will probably be Top 5

Juan Montoya (+135) Top 10 (@5dimes)
Scary playing JPM with his temper but if he keeps his cool he should be OK

RACE WINNERS

0.66 unit Kevin Harvick (+850) @thegreek
0.33 unit Clint Bowyer (+1500) @ thegreek
0.25 unit David Ragan (+2400) @thegeek
0.25 unit Paul Menard (+3000) @beted
0.15 unit Joey Logano (+3500) @beted

Good luck to everyone!
0.33

 

[johnboland]

Menard is having a good year. Bowyer, Ragan, Montoya and Menard were all dark horse picks by the FOX crew to finally win at Talladega. BOL Maxx40. My brother was there the year Carl Edwards almost went into the stands.

 

[rolltide]

i've played against logano in every race this year...not stopping now! that team is really, really struggling

 

[Maxx40]

thanks john. enjoy the race.....would love to go to 'Dega at least once. From everyone I talk to the race isn't the main attraction its what goes on before, gets pretty wild

 

[Maxx40]

rolltide you are right, only 1 Top 15 and a total of 0 laps led in 7 races so far.....and that is one of the reasons I played...JGR and Logano is too good for that to go on and plate races have been good to Logano

 

[Nascar_Bobby]

i've played against logano in every race this year...not stopping now! that team is really, really struggling

Love this stategy.


Maxx40, I think you have to much on this race. I think you are on the right side of every bet but with the big wreck could ruin your day.

Lastly, I wished I could of saw the Nationwide race yesterday.

Good luck Maxx40 and rolltide.

 

[Maxx40]

Bobby you are right.....but have played this way on most occasions, have had bad days with plate races but also have had monster days....so many variables when it comes to betting on Nascar...many times it doesn't matter how much you know, it came down to how lucky you are...today will be the same

 

[rolltide]

kurt busch taking everyone out today...he better get the hell out of t'dega right when the race ends

 

[johnboland]

Holy Shit what a finish. Johnson was in fifth place going into turn three the FOX announcers said and went on to win by a **** hair. The fans got their moneys worth today and then some. Maybe it was the man upstairs way of showing the folks to not to lose faith with the trying times they are facing with the recent storms that left much damage.

 

[Maxx40]

and it turns out to be more bad luck than good....thank goodness Logano broke out of his rut with a Top 10.....look to be down 4.5 units or so today

 

[Maxx40]

john you're right, great finish....don't like plate racing but I prefer this "speed dating" style better than the freight train that ran around the track for 490 miles even though a lot of the fans don't

 

[Nascar_Bobby]

kurt busch taking everyone out today...he better get the hell out of t'dega right when the race ends

I could not agree with you more.

Edit:

I think he wreck Dave Blaney so kids DON'T to eat free at Golden Corral. Kids are hating him too.

 

[Nascar_Bobby]

Correct me if I am wrong. Did Johnson advance his position past Mark Martin just before the finish?

Goto the 2:28 mark of the video below:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9RVD2U8aHJ8


Here is Regan Smith getting Penalized for passing down the yellow in 2008 Talladega race.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3b2WgTk-9M